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顶帖支持,谢谢提示!创业板应还将向下寻低回踩前期平台。
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· · 原创: 浪漫 2015-09-02 09:55只看该作者(-1)·
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咖啡卡
创业板缩量的话,会今明两天某个时刻见反抽的低点概率极大。但是中期低点应该不会在这两天产生。既然不是中期低点,所以万不可以重仓。大家也知道过去那些年我遇到熊市都是全空仓的。不过现在观念改了,就算最坏的熊市也必须轻仓参与,能力是困境逼出来的。
创业板是日线反抽,不是中期低点再说一次。中期低点,长线低点,牛市大浪起点,每个起点级别不同。至于日线小级别低点是给高手做的,不适合韭菜参与。
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我说过动不动千股跌停是破绽,说明还是贵。等到利空也砸不出几个跌停的时候,底部就快了。或许底部的时候得靠指标股砸跌停来吓唬人了。那时候死猪不怕开水烫了。现在猪还能跑。
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这样规则改后,看动不动就千股跌停的场面还会不会经常出现?
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现在配资平了,赌徒想赌只有卖肾和卖身了。空有雄壮的心,却没有匹配的赌资,这就是韭菜被割的太干净的后果。等新韭菜长成吧。
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Spotlight: China economy enters "new normal 34; eyeing 7 pct growth rate:
G20ANKARA, Sept. 5 (Xinhua ) -- The Chinese economy has entered a "new normal 34; status and the growth rate of economy is predicted to be around 7 percent in the coming 4 to 5 years, said Chinese Finance Minister Lou Jiwei here on Saturday.
Lou said it in a written statement after the 2-day G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting in Ankara Turkey.
Zhou Xiaochuan, People‘s Bank of China governor pointed out in the joint statement that there is no foundation that RMB will keep devaluing for a long term.
Zhou Xiaochuan stated that the bubble in Chinese stock market keep increasing before June 2015. The Shanghai Composite Index has mounted up 70 percent from March to June.
Risks as Investors leverage rapid rise occur during this period of time. China has implemented the correction phase of stock market for three times among which the third time in August has some global impacts.
China has been taking measures to prevent its economy from systematic risk including the PBOC providing liquidity to the market through multiple channels.
The measures taken by Chinese government has prevented the stock market from decline in precipice way and the occurrence of systematic risk.
According to the statement, since the August correction in stock market, the Investors leverage in Stock market has been going down significantly and the real economy has not been impacted.
The reform of the middle price quotation of RMB exchange rate mechanism on August 11 is an important step to the marketing reform of RMB rate.
RMB was devalued for a certain degree after the reform, but the RMB was over valued for reasons like the value-up of U.S. dollar ,the generally value depreciate of Currency in emerging market economies.
34;But there is no substantial transformation in the real economy of China and large surplus still remains in the foreign trade of China, so there is no foundation that RMB will keep devaluing for a long term," Governor Zhou strengthened in the Statement.
34;The status of Chinese economy is till in predication. The Chinese Economy has entered a "new normal 34; status and the growth rate of economy is predicted to be around 7 percent in the coming 4 to 5 years" Chinese Finance Minister of Lou Jiewei said in the joint statement.
It is stated that there are mainly two reasons that the growth rate of China will enter the 7 percent period.
Firstly, the rapid growth rate which keeps 9-10 percent in the past and highly depends on the stimulation of policy is not sustainable, and is over the potential growth rate of China which lead to over capacity and mass increase of inventory. It will take years to consume these over capacity and inventory.
The next 5 years will be a painful period for the reform of Chinese economy, and the main goals need to be achieved by 2020. China 39;s economy will be mainly driven by consumption rather than investment and foreign trade during the reforming period, and this will not be an easy job to accomplish.
Secondly, China‘s economic cycle is different with the developed countries. Developed countries generally initiated the process of deleveraging after the global crisis, however, China initiated its leveraging process between 2009 and 2010 and achieved the 10 percent in growth rate.
The contribution rate to growth of global economy was as high as 50 percent above during that time. China now is initiating its process of deleveraging and the growth rate will down to 7 percent but still making 30 percent contribution rate to growth of global economy.
Lou stressed in the statement that there are some positive changes in Chinese economy despite the lower of growth rate, including the contribution rate to growth of consumption comes higher than that of investment, the proportion of service in GDP over passed industry, the proportion of trade surplus in GDP has been decreasing, 7 million new jobs was created in the first half year, the quality of economic growth keeps rising etc.
China will continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy and the increasing rate of central government spending is predicted to be 10 percent, which is higher than the 7 percent budget.
China is taking measures to plug fiscal gap to maintain moderate economic growth and support the structural reform, the statement added.
34;The Chinese government will not pay particular attention to a seasonal short term economic fluctuation, and will keep the stability of macroeconomic policies," Lou pointed out in the statement.
China has achieved a 7 percent growth despite the decreasing of demographic dividend and falling on rate of capital return.
The huge potential of Chinese economy lies in reform and China is unswervingly promote reform and opening up in accordance with the established plan.
34;G20 financial ministers and central bank governors have talked about the economy problems in China and we are not pessimistic about China keeping the 7 percent growth rate in the future,‘ Deputy Prime Minister of Turkey Cevdet Yilmaz said in the press conference Saturday in Ankara.
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最近几天放假,喊底部的特别多。其实反弹几天都不是事,但是你对于底部得有自己的看法。战略错那就是全盘错。做个反弹你却全部身家压上,那一旦你看错,反手都很难。自己下手的时候多掂量掂量。周小川G20的讲话谁有英文版,仔细琢磨琢磨。
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浪漫兄,这是个啥指标?[引用原文已无法访问]