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股市半月谈(2019年1月上)

19-01-19 15:16 245742次浏览
乱世浮生
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本月上月半,A股三大指数集体大涨,最强是深圳股,大涨4.72%,最弱是创业板,涨幅为1.52%。


在此期间我自己这个账户的收益也在稳步前行。
由于本月行情很好,很多短线高手可能对百分之22的收益率看不上眼。
但是要知道,如果每月能稳步保持20个点的收益率,在复利效应下,一年就可以本金翻9倍!
我是风险极度厌恶者,不喜欢账户大起大落,我追求的是稳定。
我的核心理念就是在小赚小亏,偶尔大赚绝不大亏中稳步前行~
2018年由于操作的比较随意,加之仓控没有做好,导致收益率创下了6年来的新低,收益率只有162%。
2019年,我会静下心来专注于操作,争取资金曲线一路向北!
下面我们就来对A股2019年1月上半月复盘,知道上半月有哪些机会,有哪些风险。 华尔街没有新鲜事。股市里今天发生的事情在昨天都发生过,并且明天一定也会发生~
总结了上半月,争取下半月再有机会的时候能第一时间把握住,再有风险的时候能第一时间避开。


2019年的第一天,大盘不争气的走了一根大阴棒,之后的第三天,触底反弹,收了一根带量的大阳柱。然后就是开启了这一波的上升趋势。
在这一波的行情中一共有3次非常好的赚钱机会,每次机会把握住了,都是至少10点起步。
第一次是东方通信 带动的5G题材低位股的补涨
2019年第一天大盘虽然大跌,但2018年最后一个大牛股东方通信继续涨停,走出了6天5板的强悍走势,特别是后3个板,每天成交额都超过10亿。 在东方通信连续大涨的带动下,一些之前没怎么涨过的低位5G股纷纷开始补涨,法尔胜新天科技 等等。
重点是选对股,低位补涨是重点。
第二次是风范股份 带动的特高压题材的一波行情
2018年底由于政策的利好刺激,特高压题材直接低位起爆当日完成高潮,当天涨停个股数量多达10家。 然而第二天就被闷杀,只有风范股份一个活了下来。
之后风范股份超预期连续4天涨停,第五天随着风范股份的高开高走,特高压板块被激活,当天一路大涨,收出大阳柱。
当天风范股份的分时也完成了分歧转一致,里面的一波大资金选择了在高潮时出货,另一波看好的资金强势吃货一路继续顶到涨停。
在第一次分歧转一致后,一口气又来了5个板,高度达到10连板。特高压板块连续两天大涨。 这两天是非常好的赚钱时机,国电南自新宏泰通光线缆汉缆股份 等等纷纷大涨。
本人在这一波做了通光线缆,但是没拿住,赚了不到10个点~
风范股份是2019年的第一个大妖股,10连板开了个好头,相信今年的赚钱行情一定不会比2018年差!
第三次是鹏起科技 带动的军工板块行情
在TW问题消息的刺激下,军工板块受到重视。之前风范股份的连续涨停打开了空间,资金打造了鹏起科技这个军工龙头。
从第4个涨停板开始,每天早盘的封单都超过百万手,加上龙二航天通信 这种盘子比较大的股也出现了连板走势,将板块激活。
这个阶段出了一个很强势的7天6板的特发信息 ,属性是“创5军”,集创投5G军工三个热门题材于一体,还有一个通光线缆属性也是“创5军”,走势也很强。 以上是上半月的3个比较容易抓住,并且盈亏比很高的板块性机会,另外还有在东方通信的连续大涨下带动的春兴精工摩恩电气 、 群星玩具、通产丽星庄股的趋势行情,这些股基本都是给玩趋势的高手送钱的。
另外还有新疆交建 带动的近端次新股行情
但是次新股高潮后第二天马上高开低走,龙头新疆交建还走出了天地板的极端恶劣走势,行情只持续了一天,所以这里就没有作为 一个大的机会来具体分析。 工业互联网 前两天也高潮一次,第二天也是直接闷杀,这里也不单独拿来分析。
还有一个6天5板的永泰能源 在本周五把资源股带动高潮,但是这个股只有6天5板就结束了,强度一般,所以也不做具体分析。
整个上半月,赚钱效应都是爆棚的,唯独在本周五大盘大涨的这一天,赚钱效应全无。
这是因为市场的题材炒作灵魂股-东方通信出现了直线大跌杀跌停的恶劣分时走势。
随着东方通信的一波杀跌停,高位的通产丽星、群星玩具、风范股份、鹏起科技纷纷跟着跌停。
场上题材股里的资金一窝蜂的全往外跑,导致我当天买的题材股也亏钱了。
分析了上半月的机会与风险,其实已经很明确了。
就是要高度重视龙头股,市场高度龙头主升的时候,要积极在主流板块做多。
当市场高度龙头高位横盘的时候,就要控制仓位保持盘感,因为市场高度龙头一旦开始大跌,一些前期的高位强势股,热门股都会纷纷补跌,这个时候风险很大。
当前的市场高度只有2连板,赚钱效应达到冰点,接下来就是耐心等待有新的题材出现,新的龙头股出现打出气势,出现新的赚钱周期。
如果没有新的题材出现,新的龙头出现,就看东方通信能否继续反包后向上,这样的话创投、5G这两个老题材还有反复的机会。
但是一旦东方通信开始走A字形下跌,就要万分小心,短线高手的回撤,都是发生在前期龙头股走A,新龙头出现前的这段时间。
以上全是个人的总结观点,欢迎大伙来交流,不喜勿喷~
打开淘股吧APP
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老牌游资

19-01-19 15:24

156
“2018年由于操作的比较随意,加之仓控没有做好,导致收益率创下了6年来的新低,收益率只有162%”  兄如果不出意外的话按照你这个收益率坚持十几年  地球  火星  月亮  都是你的
乱世浮生

19-02-02 10:56

106
不用学习战术的,你只要学习分析大盘和跌幅榜结合。跌幅榜大,大盘又不好,就空。跌幅榜小,大盘不看,用战术猛攻个股。跌幅榜大,大盘还好,主做大盘股!脱离大盘和跌幅榜去单独研究战术,这是误入歧途!!!!这话可以点醒很多瓶颈待突破的人![引用原文已无法访问]
股天乐

19-01-21 12:46

105
淘股吧工作人员于2019-01-21 11:50 通过帐号与密码登陆的方式,验证@乱世浮生  兄 于2018年11月1号至2019年1月18号的历史成交情况,以及2019年1月2号到1月18号的收益曲线图,感谢乱世浮生兄的信任与支持。现将验证情况公布如下:[淘股吧]

成交日期证券代码证券名称操作成交数量成交金额合同编号成交编号交易市场
20181101601218吉鑫科技246600705276.00096367167143沪A
20181101002687乔治白118900706266.00096346215196深A
20181101300059东方财富1229001537766.00096365227233深A
20181101300508维宏股份26100761943.000964181014203深A
20181101300508维宏股份16800489266.000964431136656深A
20181101300508维宏股份9700281557.000964761824075深A
20181102601218吉鑫科技246600707742.0009648768214沪A
20181102002939长城证券51000707309.100964931070326深A
20181102300508维宏股份10500307303.000965682664286深A
20181102002939长城证券22600308623.100965842708512深A
20181102300508维宏股份14000407404.000966362950092深A
20181102300508维宏股份21320620415.000966543068283深A
20181102002939长城证券739001024254.000966723105845深A
20181102300508维宏股份6780196731.600968103140098深A
20181102002939长城证券14300197912.000968183168406深A
20181105600695绿庭投资143000810307.00096897481936沪A
20181105000063中兴通讯42600779154.000969071831449深A
20181105000633合金投资135000782971.000969193453446深A
20181105002939长城证券809001187612.00096862227338深A
20181105002939长城证券809001187612.00096864227490深A
20181106600695绿庭投资143000865150.000969902661沪A
20181106601162天风证券10008100.00097034539314沪A
20181106603032德新交运21000780780.00097037751740沪A
20181106601162天风证券100700779418.000971741593335沪A
20181106000633合金投资690036846.00097028497800深A
20181106000063中兴通讯42600777876.000970531251771深A
20181106000633合金投资1130059325.000970781392959深A
20181106000633合金投资116800612032.000970831813791深A
20181106300091金通灵193000792696.000971262007469深A
20181106300091金通灵7002807.000972833523444深A
20181107603032德新交运21000722619.00097297165378沪A
20181107600165新日恒力153400743990.000973321277533沪A
20181107601162天风证券100700747194.000973762015686沪A
20181107300091金通灵193700761241.000973051310926深A
20181107300122智飞生物339001481408.000973843890697深A
20181108600165新日恒力153400681205.00097442245389沪A
20181108601162天风证券1491001066065.000974741281903沪A
20181108000063中兴通讯536001077360.000974611730123深A
20181108300122智飞生物6700289976.00097411262054深A
20181108300122智飞生物272001175040.00097416507176深A
20181109603386广东骏亚20000381323.000975691470143沪A
20181109601162天风证券80000536800.000976091664185沪A
20181109603386广东骏亚6600127974.000976412415781沪A
20181109601162天风证券84105563503.500976554286947沪A
20181109601162天风证券34800231420.000977074469479沪A
20181109601162天风证券30195200192.850977264505795沪A
20181109000063中兴通讯536001046272.000975401973055深A
20181109300451创业软件28100562000.000976865796738深A
20181109300451创业软件10300205824.000977126001723深A
20181109300451创业软件9500189905.000977556079405深A
20181109300451创业软件180036028.000977696097756深A
20181112603386广东骏亚26600563654.00097786167458沪A
20181112601162天风证券80000528000.00097889780459沪A
20181112600130波导股份152400533400.00097906875493沪A
20181112002604*ST龙力249900472311.000978641090632深A
20181112300451创业软件49700988533.000978351182387深A
20181112002376新北洋30100538584.000979261372873深A
20181112002376新北洋29600532748.000979651775782深A
20181113600130波导股份152400597484.00098025309358沪A
20181113002376新北洋11900222411.00098069812264深A
20181113000506中润资源87500313250.000980791144273深A
20181113002376新北洋47800895294.000980941320074深A
20181113000506中润资源65000234000.000981001457703深A
20181113000506中润资源115900418399.000981101571939深A
20181113002700新疆浩源20800283712.000981241944945深A
20181113002700新疆浩源16900231192.000981401999407深A
20181113002700新疆浩源35200482966.000981612013373深A
20181113002700新疆浩源18400252665.000981972044256深A
20181113002604*ST龙力249900504798.00097980264379深A
20181114000506中润资源118800433620.000982651460215深A
20181114000506中润资源149600547536.000982801596962深A
20181114002668奥马电器118400803936.000983011993122深A
20181114000622恒立实业34800321552.000983252673166深A
20181114300670大烨智能24400489430.000983362827186深A
20181114002700新疆浩源913001266331.00098219291965深A
20181114300225金力泰116500629071.00098255889039深A
20181115601186中国铁建31350346417.500984672665028沪A
20181115601186中国铁建62000685100.000984872708386沪A
20181115300670大烨智能24400556320.00098356282963深A
20181115300225金力泰116500639585.00098368540727深A
20181115002668奥马电器118400801568.000983891268278深A
20181115300089文化长城42900283127.000984282408507深A
20181115300089文化长城60400398535.000984432757470深A
20181115300089文化长城39700262428.000984582857247深A
20181115002230科大讯飞21150530865.000984984919251深A
20181115002230科大讯飞19400487910.000985165007069深A
20181115002230科大讯飞12900325209.000985615215402深A
20181115000622恒立实业34800326860.000985324815429深A
20181116601186中国铁建933501035251.5009858242420沪A
20181116600536中国软件384001031961.00098590227981沪A
20181116603986兆易创新7300562611.000988021875650沪A
20181116002230科大讯飞534501354988.500987502162041深A
20181116300089文化长城98300633210.00098634832905深A
20181116300089文化长城40100255838.000986791407835深A
20181116300089文化长城460029149.000987011544274深A
20181116002935天奥电子18200857307.000987062058304深A
20181116002935天奥电子5900280250.000987842546594深A
20181116002871伟隆股份24900568961.000987872659128深A
20181119600536中国软件384001051776.000988357666沪A
20181119603986兆易创新7300563122.00098876285147沪A
20181119601162天风证券1586001115600.00098894806984沪A
20181119600536中国软件420001113000.000989822476014沪A
20181119002054德美化工1269001113626.000989332209927深A
20181119002935天奥电子241001151980.00098839257563深A
20181119002871伟隆股份24900583817.000988841135495深A
20181119002941新疆交建03590.0000深A
20181120601162天风证券79300643916.00099006280597沪A
20181120601162天风证券79300645502.00099010351809沪A
20181120600536中国软件420001089900.00099018480497沪A
20181120600311荣华实业3047001140027.000990831140168沪A
20181120601899紫金矿业3218001139172.000991021510584沪A
20181120002941新疆交建5000.000-502823深A
20181120300023宝德股份1421001135234.000991074122474深A
20181120002054德美化工1269001040580.00099003241219深A
20181121601899紫金矿业3218001132736.0009916557302沪A
20181121600311荣华实业3047001222348.00099321671677沪A
20181121600621华鑫股份1060001160628.000994652550991沪A
20181121300023宝德股份1421001106923.00099270756159深A
20181121000068华控赛格2374001161994.000994082332929深A
20181121002939长城证券883001133770.00099192570771深A
20181122600621华鑫股份1060001155400.0009950330369沪A
20181122000506中润资源2985001134300.000996703514451深A
20181122002668奥马电器59100405426.000997763962299深A
20181122002939长城证券883001130240.00099505241810深A
20181122000068华控赛格2374001120528.00099584513309深A
20181122002147新光圆成1626001136574.000996093215105深A
20181122000927一汽夏利73900273430.000997183611856深A
20181122000927一汽夏利27700102490.000997433675897深A
20181122000927一汽夏利95000353400.000997513817907深A
20181123600678四川金顶1622001119079.90099904769732沪A
20181123600155华创阳安1229001106498.0001000031512640沪A
20181123002668奥马电器59100412518.00099794212999深A
20181123000506中润资源2985001111536.00099870835668深A
20181123002210飞马国际2187001108809.0001000202930832深A
20181123000927一汽夏利196600727420.00099796489777深A
20181123002147新光圆成1626001087794.00099817612069深A
20181126600678四川金顶1622001305710.000100090166702沪A
20181126600155华创阳安12500107312.0001001721237372沪A
20181126600155华创阳安14500123395.0001002042058464沪A
20181126600155华创阳安36100309738.0001002182254358沪A
20181126600155华创阳安59800511597.0001002382268550沪A
20181126002210飞马国际2187001113183.000100080166371深A
20181126000856冀东装备23800350220.0001000981672110深A
20181126000856冀东装备59800891887.0001001121708012深A
20181126002937兴瑞科技445001197043.0001001802282119深A
20181126002575群兴玩具108100805345.0001002553224442深A
20181126300674宇信科技6900217281.0001002883682764深A
20181127601012隆基股份50300891825.000100376849988沪A
20181127601012隆基股份20200358959.000100386929889沪A
20181127300171东富龙111000893550.0001003561011867深A
20181127000506中润资源194100714500.0001004182674497深A
20181127002937兴瑞科技445001157000.000100305188838深A
20181127300674宇信科技6900218040.000100303199239深A
20181127000856冀东装备836001262365.000100309405848深A
20181127002575群兴玩具108100940192.000100313820565深A
20181127300167迪威迅118100713304.0001003932722222深A
20181128601012隆基股份705001245754.810100478125228沪A
20181128601012隆基股份52100936556.000100581547522沪A
20181128300167迪威迅118100705057.000100546763982深A
20181128000918嘉凯城55100440800.0001006542136072深A
20181128000918嘉凯城1230098769.0001006722166496深A
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20190116601066中信建投67600823368.0001080311640357沪A
20190116601066中信建投37400454410.0001080701660905沪A
20190116603220贝通信25800749071.0001080872572613沪A
20190116000426兴业矿业1538001008928.000107975609293深A
20190116002463沪电股份56500468950.0001081224008402深A
20190116002498汉缆股份143300454261.0001081645248694深A
20190116300674宇信科技20500611029.0001080141173879深A
20190117603220贝通信25800720609.000108238209272沪A
20190117600157永泰能源227222449899.560108267633936沪A
20190117603017中衡设计36200454176.0001083762063571沪A
20190117002463沪电股份56500468399.0001082981401134深A
20190117002733雄韬股份31800604618.5001083102257694深A
20190117002498汉缆股份143300431383.000108222431827深A
20190117300674宇信科技20500647800.000108209230495深A
20190117002426胜利精密97400289278.0001083302866643深A
20190117002426胜利精密154000462000.0001083362890891深A
20190118600157永泰能源227200504384.0001084087723沪A
20190118603017中衡设计36200438808.000108487302774沪A
20190118600157永泰能源2251.700108505637060沪A
20190118601881中国银河12009576.0001085792029753沪A
20190118601881中国银河73700588126.0001085892246313沪A
20190118002733雄韬股份31800676704.000108410213608深A
20190118002426胜利精密251400756714.000108476488746深A
20190118300072三聚环保69500594225.0001085181594094深A
20190118300080易成新能78900589977.0001085432688880深A
20190118002270华明装备98500593955.0001085081217280深A

 



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乱世浮生

19-01-24 15:35

55
要想成为一个伟大操盘手, 的确需要自然禀赋,需要坚韧、专注、果敢、忍耐,还要在长时间时间交易中、在纷繁纠结摸不清头绪中,突然灵光一闪瞬间大彻大悟的运气, 从此你的交易开始走上正轨,伟大的操盘手一定是野生的!哈哈,野货好吃!
乱世浮生

19-01-20 11:20

52
所以,无论你系统多牛逼,你战术都威猛,当你系统有风控方面的缺陷,将来的某年就是你灭亡和灾难年,只要你在这个市场上,就永远是一颗雷!所以系统不能有风控方面的缺陷,术方面的缺陷,可以慢慢学习晋级的!
乱世浮生

19-01-20 11:15

44
实际上炒股,术不是很重要的,风控才是第一王道,当你几万块,十几万炒股,没有这样的意识,无所谓,亏完也无所谓,当你有几百万,几千万,你亏完试试,十个有九个人是悲剧,只有一个人站起来的!所以风控比战术重要一万倍![引用原文已无法访问]
乱世浮生

19-02-01 20:24

34
明天抽空发表新帖总结下一月下,市场总体表现~另外本月盈利这么点,马马虎虎拉,但是对自己最近几天盘面的爆杀,控制住了回撤,是满意的。所以始终还是这么认为,赚钱不是重要的,控制回撤是稳定盈利的核心!!!
乱世浮生

19-01-20 22:28

34
特此声明:刚刚联系了淘股吧管理员,明天收盘验证我账户真伪,然后淘股吧管理员公告声明我账户真伪,我都烦死了,这么多喷子,等验证是真实的账户,让你们喷子哑口无言!!!
乱世浮生

19-01-24 18:02

27
明天全面放弃题材,年前几天是维稳的权重行情了!今天连板股都带不起各自的板块,今晚开始海选流通市值大于一百亿的大盘股,明天异动干!方向开始重大转变!
乱世浮生

19-01-19 22:12

26
近段时日粗读《史记》过半,感受颇深者,唯多事之秋多谋之人必众。或救人于危难,或退强敌于一时,或克城于唇舌之劳…然则最为有用者,乃谋长远之胜利而忍一时之苦痛, 管仲改革,商君变法,赵武灵王胡服骑射是也!
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