宇宙龙头，兴业银行

我顶，资料不错，但是不参考。

兴业的颈线套牢盘大，民生的头部套牢盘大。
先看兴业，再看民生，如果他两能解放融资盘，我就敢下重注。
其实概率很低很低很低很低。

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奶奶的，累死了，没人顶。

龙头显然不一样。
从12月4号-1月29号，较平稳的从10亿+增长到31亿+，从6.17涨到10.5，融资盘高度参与，共同拉伸，相当和谐。
1月30号-2月19号头部构造阶段，融资急剧放大，余额净增21亿，可以说，这里是融资盘买出来的。
然后的颈线平台缠斗，减少融资了，好事。
当不幸的是，3月19号开始的回抽，融资盘再次放大，当然规模比1月30号-2月19号小很多，自然头部也小一些。

楼主觉得如果大盘反弹会是兴业银行么？空头回补

再简单看一下民生的融资盘
1 2013-03-29 5,706,830,206 306,331,231 265,655,694 161,873,646 21,184,496 21,038,488
2 2013-03-28 5,666,154,669 514,487,086 561,505,395 160,133,212 20,090,337 23,253,548
3 2013-03-27 5,713,172,978 367,608,108 186,784,469 208,985,741 15,628,283 15,206,087
4 2013-03-26 5,532,349,339 390,896,087 326,883,403 203,562,230 13,961,116 17,789,721
5 2013-03-25 5,468,336,655 258,435,681 245,906,061 255,370,324 8,742,581 8,067,556
6 2013-03-22 5,455,807,035 178,818,716 193,355,703 245,691,003 5,892,358 5,713,054
7 2013-03-21 5,470,344,022 361,184,054 196,450,393 244,631,036 10,636,801 10,847,511
8 2013-03-20 5,305,610,361 413,710,619 401,812,524 248,290,515 21,180,642 19,241,483
9 2013-03-19 5,293,712,266 409,483,118 216,322,305 212,723,199 11,250,438 8,526,742
10 2013-03-18 5,100,551,453 201,437,839 227,995,856 179,985,551 8,928,327 7,588,872
11 2013-03-15 5,127,109,470 609,395,753 304,029,047 165,529,854 12,658,544 14,155,947
12 2013-03-14 4,821,742,764 277,105,513 252,331,798 178,140,206 10,170,618 8,232,321
13 2013-03-13 4,796,969,049 270,068,786 258,675,353 157,738,305 15,841,238 15,050,078
14 2013-03-12 4,785,575,616 476,864,473 989,037,753 149,387,260 9,964,967 14,047,293
15 2013-03-11 5,297,748,896 354,599,082 384,036,909 198,470,632 14,484,416 17,104,318
16 2013-03-08 5,327,186,723 460,444,738 423,758,633 232,739,538 19,290,209 17,024,115
17 2013-03-07 5,290,500,618 374,761,988 343,764,157 205,448,068 18,673,011 19,431,170
18 2013-03-06 5,259,502,787 458,515,213 418,005,953 216,610,427 22,484,078 19,939,977
19 2013-03-05 5,218,993,527 666,337,347 368,434,359 183,474,469 26,379,058 22,992,764
20 2013-03-04 4,921,090,539 253,757,871 462,125,669 138,567,277 18,123,294 18,923,110
21 2013-03-01 5,129,458,337 491,777,638 469,822,651 156,784,369 16,927,263 18,806,643
22 2013-02-28 5,107,503,350 631,652,622 529,225,624 179,026,964 25,053,329 22,592,617
23 2013-02-27 5,005,076,352 353,557,116 391,580,297 145,679,450 17,190,768 17,976,562
24 2013-02-26 5,043,099,533 843,860,218 587,147,262 150,750,840 22,020,474 23,995,141
25 2013-02-25 4,786,386,577 337,767,167 307,341,541 168,771,302 10,388,215 9,340,063
26 2013-02-22 4,755,960,951 328,827,277 411,121,788 157,055,824 7,628,259 9,630,559
27 2013-02-21 4,838,255,462 609,312,861 707,130,133 181,081,987 14,532,761 18,075,628
28 2013-02-20 4,936,072,734 421,824,246 716,253,695 229,383,760 7,502,292 9,057,291
29 2013-02-19 5,230,502,183 423,418,145 309,761,116 249,085,053 9,316,908 7,769,025
30 2013-02-18 5,115,610,642 530,795,660 251,550,014 230,120,230 8,660,949 8,020,471
31 2013-02-08 4,836,364,996 580,173,457 563,141,174 225,590,848 9,671,994 12,958,795
32 2013-02-07 4,819,332,713 666,639,397 496,301,370 272,038,778 6,985,884 17,268,801
33 2013-02-06 4,648,994,686 366,131,112 256,215,734 409,660,466 6,473,946 6,008,771
34 2013-02-05 4,542,905,337 773,414,167 235,482,366 404,563,403 8,006,957 5,200,228
35 2013-02-04 4,004,973,536 790,149,974 381,971,865 365,983,081 10,524,571 10,251,233
36 2013-02-01 3,596,795,427 395,034,740 256,845,484 353,390,952 8,086,653 7,742,262
37 2013-01-31 3,458,606,171 168,240,006 138,841,987 320,889,285 2,445,887 2,649,833
38 2013-01-30 3,429,208,152 359,421,326 118,644,819 324,558,370 4,992,204 5,436,404
39 2013-01-29 3,188,431,645 484,341,057 377,220,812 325,983,059 6,589,922 6,900,484
40 2013-01-28 3,081,311,400 388,168,346 250,738,205 320,827,900 7,038,337 5,472,474
41 2013-01-25 2,943,881,259 114,640,181 95,946,047 284,722,929 3,948,654 2,690,512
42 2013-01-24 2,925,187,125 222,044,252 273,121,582 272,106,701 8,899,984 8,141,333
43 2013-01-23 2,976,264,455 165,984,941 123,457,014 262,201,233 8,827,155 4,986,875
44 2013-01-22 2,933,736,528 396,338,384 105,616,884 218,979,504 4,623,300 7,632,056
45 2013-01-21 2,643,015,028 149,896,413 78,915,774 249,294,176 4,690,087 3,773,794
46 2013-01-18 2,572,034,389 110,409,086 122,573,634 234,885,343 7,196,002 4,055,229
47 2013-01-17 2,584,198,937 87,467,492 59,560,058 199,517,547 5,776,719 7,961,283
48 2013-01-16 2,556,291,503 165,092,513 81,790,457 220,298,762 7,009,096 5,440,000
49 2013-01-15 2,472,989,447 162,658,663 58,670,843 208,352,303 4,740,574 3,036,909
50 2013-01-14 2,369,001,627 214,604,973 120,630,660 192,574,617 8,754,600 9,483,749
1 2013-01-11 2,275,027,314 63,672,290 95,806,812 186,252,493 6,701,610 5,667,971
2 2013-01-10 2,307,161,836 105,436,799 37,922,001 180,639,307 4,161,722 4,402,769
3 2013-01-09 2,239,647,038 72,514,089 83,629,081 183,722,015 3,335,851 3,497,200
4 2013-01-08 2,250,762,030 132,365,064 115,171,920 185,268,062 3,155,071 4,243,618
5 2013-01-07 2,233,568,886 129,349,697 85,187,037 197,265,536 6,650,141 5,047,257
6 2013-01-04 2,189,406,226 160,262,183 162,771,563 176,413,190 7,756,460 5,135,099
7 2012-12-31 2,191,915,606 145,270,110 110,896,949 153,156,462 4,980,735 4,862,016
8 2012-12-28 2,157,542,445 226,715,934 85,221,638 149,124,637 2,958,700 3,896,162
9 2012-12-27 2,016,048,149 240,412,170 68,807,778 155,124,837 5,146,451 4,168,127
10 2012-12-26 1,844,443,757 97,834,951 53,558,536 149,776,299 2,149,275 2,927,806
11 2012-12-25 1,800,167,342 106,395,682 154,898,953 155,809,914 8,114,421 5,112,190
12 2012-12-24 1,848,670,613 76,778,112 84,522,850 126,556,828 2,846,910 1,364,308
13 2012-12-21 1,856,415,351 159,703,428 57,188,836 114,492,196 1,600,483 3,740,913
14 2012-12-20 1,753,900,759 119,224,724 47,621,837 131,957,558 2,243,269 5,231,199
15 2012-12-19 1,682,297,872 172,005,692 85,489,018 155,817,720 4,102,866 3,555,498
16 2012-12-18 1,595,781,198 241,403,385 71,562,192 151,916,513 6,925,899 5,388,160
17 2012-12-17 1,425,940,005 302,086,439 63,399,918 139,979,438 4,061,681 4,892,038
18 2012-12-14 1,187,253,484 93,002,489 75,716,717 145,622,287 6,993,914 8,134,531
19 2012-12-13 1,169,967,712 55,842,754 44,387,251 142,174,454 3,034,063 3,655,883
20 2012-12-12 1,158,512,209 63,903,252 23,448,452 149,009,600 4,233,500 4,783,646
21 2012-12-11 1,118,057,409 45,946,038 29,907,905 150,467,369 3,873,246 4,029,197
22 2012-12-10 1,102,019,276 60,849,179 37,068,971 154,178,968 5,169,166 3,346,385
23 2012-12-07 1,078,239,068 58,176,340 52,326,269 137,959,240 4,612,700 3,299,660
24 2012-12-06 1,072,388,997 38,814,687 26,907,992 124,069,897 2,270,700 875,100
25 2012-12-05 1,060,482,302 68,726,207 38,396,230 114,349,951 5,506,800 6,964,594
26 2012-12-04 1,030,152,325 16,716,528 21,571,107 118,624,107 2,884,396 1,740,780

所以，简单的看，兴业银行有10个亿以上的融资套牢盘。
如果兴业能在不大幅增加融资余额的前提下，上20，可以翻多无疑问；如果兴业选择阻力最小的方向，大家多加保重，市场重心下移无悬念。

行情开始至今76个交易日，兴业的融资余额简单的可以分为以下几个阶段：
12月4号-12月13号启动波，融资余额减少七千万左右，底部割肉了；
12月14号-1月11号，第一波上涨并回调，14-16元区间，冲高17元，新增余额8,9个亿，18个交易日，日增余额3-6千万左右，这部分做的不错的
1月14号-2月1号，快速犀利的第二波，16.2-20.5,最肥的一段，新增余额一亿几千万，融资盘没敢追，
2月4号冲顶，新增余额一亿四千万，买到21块以上了，那天总成交25个亿，融资买入2.58亿。
2月5号-3月27号，31个交易日， 新增余额近七亿，颈线纠缠离不开这些资金。
3月28日，新增余额3.7亿，融资买入8.55亿。全天成交66亿，搏命了。