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你们都没断奶?不就一个跌停?就吾兄出来说说,说什么呢?投资还是要靠自己,不看好就卖呗。就是十个跌停,对吾大来说也就那样。对这种股票吾大一般是逢大跌加仓,账户新高减仓。
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买了以后就没担心过,看见吾大减仓就也减一点,听说他补仓就第二天跟一点。不满仓,不贪心。感谢吾大无私分享个人投资心得。做到上亿还能跟我等小散交流的,也没几个了,大家珍惜吧。想要提问自己多想想,提点有质量的问题,不要开口就是啊能买啊,几块卖啊,拉低了粉丝的平均素质。
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给吾大的粉丝们一些信心,我刚刚又打通了公司电话,沟通内容如下:
1,公司不对外报价,产品直供钢厂,网上的报价不准;
2,超高功率小规格的200-400有少少降价,浮动很少,500-700的基本不降,只有很少数的个别客户有一点浮动;预计明年1-2月份产品价格还会涨;
3,月产量8000-9000吨,出口占比30-40%;
4,限产对公司无影响。
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我给方大打了电话,公司说小规格的有降价,但是高规格的价格没降,销售也一切正常。还有什么问题想问的,说说,下午我再打电话问一下
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我记得吾老师加仓的同时还说过:亏死拉倒。劝你趁早把吾老师拉黑。你这一边骂人,一边还关注人家………这操守好尴尬啊,哈哈[引用原文已无法访问]
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@吾知讲乜[淘股吧]吾兄,我有重大发现,为什么方大比较猥琐,看看你这贴的:为什么我做不好
意头不好啊,自从移到此帖,方大就没雄起过。请告知股天乐修改标提。改为:我为什么做的好
保证方大立马大涨,哈哈。
@股天乐,请修改贴子标题:我为什么做的好。
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China has become net importer of graphite electrodes: Jefferies Liverpool (Platts)--2 Nov 2017 1039 am EDT/1439 GMT China has become a net importer of graphite electrodes after shuttering 30% of its capacity, according to a note from investment bank Jefferies after meetings with producer Graphite India. This is a marked shift. In recent years producers outside of China had whittled down their own production of smaller electrodes, primarily used in ladle furnaces, as they could not compete with Chinese producers -- European mills consume around 226,000 mt of electrodes each year, with more than 60% of the ladle furnace melters coming from China. Graphite India‘s management believes the tightness currently seen in the market -- caused by lower Chinese exports, tight needle coke supply and strong demand -- could persist for at least two years, Jefferies said in the note Thursday. The tightness has driven spot prices to as high as $30,000/mt, and been a cause of concern for mills; some producers have had to air freight electrodes to their plants in recent months to continue production, and in some cases steelmaking output has been impacted. Article continues below... Graphite India started the 2018 financial year with higher needle coke stocks and has been able to operate at 95%. However, the company is forecasting 75%-80% utilization in the 2019 financial year because of concerns over needle coke supply. "The Indian coke used for manufacturing the low grade of electrodes is also seeing a constrained supply, but not as constrained as needle coke," Jefferies said. Around 10% of global needle coke production is now being diverted to the burgeoning lithium-ion battery sector, a structural market change that will continue. With a tighter needle coke supply situation, and growing demand, pricing could move to quarterly from semi-annual, Jefferies said in the note citing Graphite India management. This chimes with what other electrode producers have told S&P Global Platts. Consequently, some are also looking to move their contracts to quarterly, from annually in the past. Graphite India has renegotiated a "fair amount" of its contracts to incorporate the increase in the raw material cost, the note added. The company is mulling formula driven prices, with an electrode base price and a "surge" if needle coke costs increase above estimated levels. NO2 HEG Q2: Tight supply-demand balance for graphite electrodes to support higher pricing While constraints due to needle coke supply, caps the volume growth for HEG in near term, valuations can sustain at an elevated level due to pricing because of changing steel production dynamics, among others.Anubhav Sahu Moneycontrol Research HEG reported a turnaround in fortunes in its Q2 results this fiscal year. While benefitting from operating leverage, it showcased improved profitability as it starts reaping pricing gains from spot contracts. It‘s conference indicates that elevated product pricing can sustain in the medium term due to the tight supply demand balance.HEG’s quarterly numbers were well ahead of expectations. Sales doubled on both a sequential and yearly basis and exhibited the benefit of change in pricing trend for graphite electrodes. Additionally, higher production volume growth of 31 percent YoY (20 percent QoQ) aided topline growth. With this, HEG’s plants are now running close to their optimum capacity of 85 percent. HEG’s gross margin rose on a sequential basis owing to muted growth in raw material prices. On a YoY basis, increase in raw material prices have been mainly due to the increase in the prices of needle coke. That said, gross margins for the company which lagged its peer Graphite India for several quarters are now in line with it in Q2. In fact, at the EBITDA margin level, the company is ahead of Graphite India (46.3 percent vs. Graphite India’s 28.1 percent in the quarter) on account of lower employee costs (4 percent of sales vs Graphite India’s 10 percent of sales) and power expenses (7 percent vs Graphite India’s 16 percent of sales). Guidance Needle coke prices negotiated for the second half of the year is higher by 80-100 percent and this would have an impact from the fourth quarter onwards. However, by then, the company expects a higher realization due to the ongoing contract renewal cycle. Hence, the company guides that it would be able to maintain Q2 margins for rest of the year. Capacity expansion The company is exploring the option of increasing capacity from 80,000 MT to 100,000 MT; however, supply constraints of needle coke may slow down the pace of addition. Graphite electrode price trends Last year, graphite electrode demand was about 742 kT as per our estimates and excluding China‘s ~ 666 kT. HEG management states that 100 kT of additional demand for electrodes would have increased this year due to the drop in exports of steel and billets from China, leading to an increase in steel production in other countries preferably through EAF method. Thus, potential electrodes demand in current year outside China could be in the range of 770 kT. Demand scenario in China is structural There has been more than 100 million ton capacity closure of steel plants in China running on the induction furnance method. A shortage of steel and availability of steel scrap used by the above method has led to a strong case for electric arc furnance method of steel production in China. Therefore, it comes as no surprise that China is now a net importer of graphite electrodes. Needle coke price trends Needle coke prices have been mainly guided by the pricing trends for electrodes. Further, in addition to structural imbalance in supply and demand, recent maintenance shutdown of various needle coke plants have also fueled coke prices. While the company is covered till March 2018 as far as supply of needle coke and prices are concerned, scenario for next fiscal year would be known only in the next couple of months. So, while constraints due to needle coke supply, caps the volume growth for HEG in near term, valuations can sustain at an elevated level due to pricing because of changing steel production dynamics, supply side reforms in China and the imbalance in graphite electrode supply-demand. [淘股吧]
印度HEG公司11月2日的研报内容。主要有:
1、China has become a net importer of graphite electrodes after shuttering 30% of its capacity。中国在减产30%后,成为石墨电极净进口国;
2、Graphite India‘s management believes the tightness currently seen in the market -- caused by lower Chinese exports, tight needle coke supply and strong demand -- could persist for at least two years目前市场上出现的紧度(由中国出口减少、针状焦供应紧张和需求旺盛造成)可能持续至少两年;
3、The tightness has driven spot prices to as high as $30,000/mt。这种紧张局面把现货价格推高至30000美元/公吨;约20万吧。
4、Tight supply-demand balance for graphite electrodes to support higher pricing While constraints due to needle coke supply, caps the volume growth for HEG in near term, valuations can sustain at an elevated level due to pricing because of changing steel production dynamics,石墨电极紧张的供需平衡支持更高的定价,同时由于针状焦供应限制
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好好看看好运2008买股的技巧,中长线趋势短线高抛低吸,才是真正赚钱的王道。我发现很多人不知道感恩还冷嘲热讽,这种心态能在市场赚钱吗?放弃一些偏见,多完善自己不足,学中增值!
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好运哥其实挺不错,真不明白为什么一些人总喜欢针对!只是因为喜欢得瑟吗,那也是人家有得瑟的资本。
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在别人的帖子起码的尊重都没有